Tuesday, February 1, 2011


as far as i can make out, Egypt is a stable country. The economy seems to be stagnating, as there is talk of poverty and millions living on two dollars a day, the same as is said about our country. if Mubarak was thinking of appointing his son as successor, that should have been done through the democratic process. there does not seem to be any bad publicity among his relatives, like the tunisian ruler's wife or like the son of saddam hussein. a relatively modern country is what one can imagine of egypt. a ruler who has remained in power for a long time and who does not obviously have any great proactive programme for his people is what one can picture of mubarak. in his defense, the country that he rules is a very crucial territory in the most conflict-ridden zone of the world. keeping the peace itself would have been a big challenge and achievement. but, economic progress must be the basic motivation of any good ruler. the ruler must be in constant interaction with the people and must be engaged in devising solutions and answers to the people's problems. if a ruler or leader is comfortably ensconced in power, and does not have a plan for his people, a philosophy of ensuring harmony and the best conditions for a good life, he will be out of touch with the people sooner or later.

to get over the lack of philosophical depth and a disconnect with the necessary qualifications of a just and honest leader, the best distraction and diversion would be war. saddam had his war with iran, and then decided to occupy Kuwait, which led to his downfall. the reason for saddam losing power was that his one-time backers were opposing him in the latter part of his tenure.

mubarak did not set out to manufacture war, nor was he probably actively engaged in utilizing a war for propaganda, like the NDA  government tried to do in India. he was probably just a peacekeeper. today, when he tells that he will not stand for elections again, that should be the end of the matter.

but, as i was watching an egyptian woman with an americanized accent speaking on CNN, it became obvious that the people who are still sticking it out in Egypt are just aimless and misled dreamers, who probbly feel that this act of mobilisation is a part of internet folklore, and will turn out to be a very good endeavour, as opposed to the very bad ruler. is each of them willing to work the political process and form a party that will have a constitution and an ideology, is what raises itself to the people of Egypt.

when there is a party in power that has a constitution and an ideology, it must have the strength of character to bow to the wishes of the people, if they so demand, even if it is baseless. the strength of character will give the resolution to make the people understand, if not now, some time in the future.

countries and ruling parties that face hostile environments will be willing to suppress any revolt that might destabilise the country in their view. if hosni mubarak proposes a secular solution to his people and invites all the millions that are protesting to enroll as members of his party, that would be the best way forward for Egypt. all the members of the party must then listen to the vision for the country as proposed by the leader, and can then propose alternative visions. a similar situation will be the best way forward for North Korea. there is no alternative to winning people over with persuasion.

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